The Bitcoin BTC Halving Is Here, and With It a Giant Surge in Transaction Fees

That means transaction fees currently make up as little as 14% of a miner’s revenue—but in 2140, that’ll shoot up to 100%. Since the halving reduces rewards, the incentive for miners to work on the Bitcoin network is also reduced, leading to fewer miners and less security for the network. Miners do the work of maintaining and securing the Bitcoin ledger and are rewarded with newly minted Bitcoin.

The Third Halving – May 11, 2020

Since there is a set supply of bitcoin at any given point, the currency’s inflation rate is relatively easy to calculate. As of May 2024, about 19.7 million bitcoins were in circulation, leaving just around 1.3 million to be released via mining rewards. For instance, Marathon Digital Holdings, one of the world’s largest mining firms, increased its Bitcoin holdings to 16,930 and its fleet of Bitcoin miners to 231,000 in February 2024. This brought the firm’s hash rate to 28.7 trillion hashes per second (about 5% of the network’s total hash rate as of May 2024). One of the key concepts behind halving the reward is to address inflation concerns.

Is Bitcoin Halving a Good Thing?

• Based on historical data from the previous three halvings, Bitcoin’s price typically reaches its peak approximately 18 months after the halving event.
• Bitcoin halving events increase prices due to the basic economic principle of supply and demand.
• Over a 12-month period starting from the date of the Bitcoin halving in May 2020, Ethereum soared by more than 1,732%.
• A Bitcoin halving cuts the rate at which new Bitcoins are released into circulation in half.
• Historically, after previous halving events, the price of Bitcoin has increased—but not immediately, and other factors have played a part.
• For instance, its price escalated significantly after the first halving in 2012, and similar patterns were observed in subsequent halving in 2016 and 2020.

After the halving, miners’ rewards for processing new transactions will be reduced from 6.25 bitcoin to 3.125 (about $200,000)—a significant immediate reduction of revenue. Some experts, like Baker, advise caution, noting that reduced mining activity due to the decreased block reward could potentially cause the price to stabilise. The impact of Bitcoin halving on its price is a topic of much speculation. Historically, Bitcoin has experienced a notable increase in value following past halving events. For instance, its price escalated significantly after the first halving in 2012, and similar patterns were observed in subsequent halving in 2016 and 2020.

The 2024 halving, Bitcoin ETFs and miners

• Miners do the work of maintaining and securing the Bitcoin ledger and are rewarded with newly minted Bitcoin.
• But as much as $3 billion might flow into these ETFs by the end of 2024.
• However, others have disputed the underlying assumptions upon which the theory is based.
• A decentralized network of validators verify all bitcoin transactions in a process called mining.
• First, it’s possible that the timing of these rises was purely coincidental.

The above Google trends is “interesting.” Mainstreet has lost its BTC mania so it’s up to Wall Street to make bitcoin shine. The current chart simply says if you are a bull, bitcoin is back in the game. To me it will have to get above $60,000 and get back into the box clearly for the old theory to be reestablished.

What determines bitcoin’s price?

According to CoinShares, a vast majority of miners will have to contend with high costs, forcing them to reduce costs in a bid to maintain profitability. All in all, only a handful of miners will remain profitable post-having if Bitcoin’s price remains above $40,000, which it has blown past in anticipation of What is Bitcoin Halving the halving. While Bitcoin halving may initially present challenges for miners, such as decreased revenue and increased competition, it also drives adaptation and innovation within the mining sector. Miners may need to optimize their operations, negotiate lower costs, and explore alternative revenue streams.

Does bitcoin halving increase BTC’s price?

This scarcity is enshrined in the code itself, rendering Bitcoin immune to the inflationary pressures that typically plague fiat currencies. Overall, Bitcoin halving events are critical milestones in the evolution of the cryptocurrency, shaping its economic dynamics and reinforcing its decentralized nature and long-term value. Nodes on the Bitcoin network contain transaction history and are responsible for validating new transactions. A block on the Bitcoin network is a group of transactions that bitcoin miners verify by solving a cryptographic algorithm. The process used in the Bitcoin network to verify blocks is a consensus algorithm known as proof of work (PoW).

How Does Bitcoin Halving Work?

This event has been highly anticipated by investors and traders, as it marks a significant milestone in Bitcoin’s journey and could potentially impact its price and the overall cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin halving events have far-reaching implications for miners, investors, and the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem. Despite the potential challenges posed by the halving, miners have been actively preparing for its financial impact, Grayscale said. In late 2023, a noticeable trend emerged as miners sold their Bitcoin holdings on-chain, likely to increase liquidity ahead of the reduction in block rewards.

Bitcoin Halvings — What They Are, Why They Happen, and Why You Should Care

A growing number of analysts and investors now think that Ethereum could regain its all-time high of $4,891 sometime by the end of 2025. And, from there, Ethereum could soar as high as $22,000 by the year 2030, according to investment firm VanEck. The second reason why Ethereum could soar in the post-halving cycle has to do with the imminent launch of the new spot Ethereum ETFs.